Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000035 0.000038 0.000041 0.000045 0.000049 0.000053
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000031 0.000035 0.000039 0.000045 0.000051 0.000059
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000028 0.000032 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000063
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000025 0.000030 0.000036 0.000044 0.000053 0.000065
2026-01-04 0.000019 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000053 0.000067
2026-01-11 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044 0.000055 0.000071
2026-01-18 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000046 0.000059 0.000078
2026-01-25 0.000019 0.000025 0.000032 0.000042 0.000055 0.000074 0.000101
2026-02-01 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000054 0.000073 0.000102
2026-02-08 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000038 0.000052 0.000072 0.000103
2026-02-15 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000052 0.000073 0.000106
2026-02-22 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000037 0.000052 0.000074 0.000109
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000035 0.000051 0.000073 0.000111
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000073 0.000113
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000033 0.000049 0.000073 0.000115
2026-03-22 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000072 0.000116
2026-03-29 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000046 0.000071 0.000117
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000046 0.000073 0.000123
2026-04-12 0.000009 0.000014 0.000020 0.000031 0.000048 0.000078 0.000133
2026-04-19 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000036 0.000058 0.000097 0.000175
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000034 0.000056 0.000095 0.000174
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033 0.000055 0.000094 0.000174
2026-05-10 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000033 0.000055 0.000095 0.000179